In Niger, the majority of population today does not have access to electricity. This study analyzes how the electricity consumption could increase, and whether Niger’s supply plans are sufficient to meet the growing demand. With the current efforts of electrification, Niger will have supply capacity of 1,361 GWh by 2020 and 1,444 GWh by 2024. This accounts only for the national capacity expansion plans. If this proves true, the increase in generation capacity will be unable to maintain the country’s current electrification rate. This means, by 2021 there will be a supply deficit of 145 GWh, and it will reach to 783 GWh in 2030. In order to supply this deficit, e.g. with solar PV system, new installations ranging from 512 MW to 682 MW would be required by 2030.
Keywords Electricity access, scenarios, solar photovoltaics, Niger, rural electrification