Abstract
Solar power generation is a crucial pathway towardachieving global carbon neutrality. However, manycountries and regions lack a comprehensiveunderstanding of the barriers to solar developmentfrom a global perspective. To address this issue, weselected 11 representative countries (or regions)worldwide and projected the electricity consumptionand solar land demand of 665 first-level administrativeunits by 2050. Based on land, capital, and policydimensions, we constructed PV development constraintscenarios and analyzed the developmental constraintsand future pathways of solar power generation in theseregions. The results indicate that: (1) Global electricityconsumption and land demand will continue to grow.By 2050, only a few countries—such as Australia, Egypt,and South Africa—can largely meet their electricitydemand using barren land alone, while only 19.94% ofglobal first-level administrative units can do so; mostregions must rely on composite land-use approachessuch as construction land integration. (2) Based oncombinations of land availability and economicconditions, PV development constraints can becategorized into four types: land-constrained, capital-constrained, land and capital-constrained, and policy-constrained. (3) Japan, South Korea, the EuropeanUnion, Brazil, China, and the United States are land-constrained; Egypt and South Africa are capital-constrained; Thailand and India are land and capital-constrained; and Australia is policy-constrained. (4) Atthe first-level administrative unit scale, land-constrained areas are the most widespread (67.92%),while capital-constrained areas are the least common(4.05%). This classification framework provides ascientific theoretical basis and practical guidance forformulating differentiated and targeted regional PVdevelopment strategies.